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Prospective Scenarios on Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions in the EU Iron & Steel Industry

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This document analyzes on the basis of a detailed bottom-up model the role of technology and its diffusion on energy consumption and CO2 emissions at plant level in the EU-27 Iron & Steel industry. Main current processes of all plants and the cost-effectiveness of their retrofit with Best Available Technologies and Innovative Technologies is analyzed up to 2030. The baseline scenario considers the demand for steel and prices of fuels and resources evolve according to the projection of Primes. Two alternative scenarios vary linearly several times by 2030 some of the main drives of technology change, such us the cost of CO2 allowances, fuels and price of the resources. The reduction ranges for the specific CO2 emissions varies between 14% and 21%. The range for the variation in specific energy consumption goes from 7 to 11%. The higher values rely on the successful market roll-out by 2020 of some key innovative technologies, underlining the importance of the successful conclusion of the research ongoing in those technologies. In the recycling route the results indicate potential improvements between 2010 and 2030 in the specific energy consumption and specific CO2 emissions of about 6% and 11%, respectively.
2012-11-12
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC74811
978-92-79-54190-2 (print),    978-92-79-54191-9,   
1018-5593 (print),    1831-9424 (online),   
EUR 25543,    OP LD-1A-25543-EN-C (print),    OP LD-1A-25543-EN-N (online),   
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC74811,   
10.2790/098079 (print),    10.2790/056726 (online),   
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