Guidelines for the consideration of socio-economic impacts in seismic risk analysis
A unified approach for modelling shelter needs and health impacts caused by earthquake damage which integrates social vulnerability into the physical systems modelling approaches has been developed. The shelter needs and health impact models discussed here brings together the state-of-the-art social loss estimation models into a comprehensive modelling approach based on multi-criteria decision support, which provides decision makers with a dynamic platform to capture post-disaster emergency shelter demand and health impact decisions. The focus in the shelter needs model is to obtain shelter demand as a consequence of building usability, building habitability and social vulnerability of the affected population rather than building damage alone. The shelter model simulates households' decision-making and considers physical, socio-economic, climatic, spatial and temporal factors in addition to modelled building damage states (input from WP3 and WP5). The health impact model combines a new semi-empirical methodology for casualty estimation with models of health impact vulnerability, transportation accessibility and healthcare capacity to obtain a holistic assessment of health impacts in the emergency period after earthquakes. A group of proposed socio-economic indicators were derived based on an in-depth study of disaster literature for each of the shelter, health and transport accessibility models, and harmonized based on data available for Europe from the EUROSTAT Urban Audit Database.
KHAZAI Bijan;
ARGYROUDIS Sotiris;
KAKDERI Kalliopi;
TAUCER Fabio;
HANCILAR Ufuk;
2013-05-30
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC80584
978-92-79-28968-2,
1831-9424,
EUR 25882,
OP LB-NA-25882-EN-N,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC80584,
10.2788/43216,
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