Title: Evaluating the capacity to grasp extreme values of agro-climatic indices under changing climate conditions over Europe
Authors: DUVEILLER BOGDAN GRÉGORY HENRY ECEGLAR ANDREJCHUKALIEV ORDANNIEMEYER Stefan
Citation: Proceedings of Impacts World 2013, International Conference on Climate Change Effects, Potsdam, May 27-30
Publisher: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Publication Year: 2013
JRC N°: JRC82116
URI: http://www.climate-impacts-2013.org/files/hcaw_duveiller.pdf
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC82116
Type: Articles in periodicals and books
Abstract: This study analyses the change of inter-annual variability of agro-climatic indices calculated for the major environmental zones in Europe from a baseline climate in 2000 to a projected climate in 2030. It leverages on a future daily weather dataset based on 2 constrasting realizations of scenario A1B by global circulation models (GCMs) dynamically downscaled with regional climate models (RCM) that have been bias-corrected. A special emphasis is given to the tails of the agro-climatic indices distributions, to how they relate to observed values in the present climate and to how they evolve in the near future.
JRC Directorate:Sustainable Resources

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