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|Title:||Evaluating the capacity to grasp extreme values of agro-climatic indices under changing climate conditions over Europe|
|Authors:||DUVEILLER BOGDAN GRÉGORY HENRY E; CEGLAR ANDREJ; CHUKALIEV ORDAN; NIEMEYER Stefan|
|Citation:||Proceedings of Impacts World 2013, International Conference on Climate Change Effects, Potsdam, May 27-30|
|Publisher:||Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)|
|Type:||Articles in periodicals and books|
|Abstract:||This study analyses the change of inter-annual variability of agro-climatic indices calculated for the major environmental zones in Europe from a baseline climate in 2000 to a projected climate in 2030. It leverages on a future daily weather dataset based on 2 constrasting realizations of scenario A1B by global circulation models (GCMs) dynamically downscaled with regional climate models (RCM) that have been bias-corrected. A special emphasis is given to the tails of the agro-climatic indices distributions, to how they relate to observed values in the present climate and to how they evolve in the near future.|
|JRC Directorate:||Sustainable Resources|
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