Evaluating the capacity to grasp extreme values of agro-climatic indices under changing climate conditions over Europe
This study analyses the change of inter-annual variability of agro-climatic indices calculated for the major environmental zones in Europe from a baseline climate in 2000 to a projected climate in 2030. It leverages on a future daily weather dataset based on 2 constrasting realizations of scenario A1B by global circulation models (GCMs) dynamically downscaled with regional climate models (RCM) that have been bias-corrected. A special emphasis is given to the tails of the agro-climatic indices distributions, to how they relate to observed values in the present climate and to how they evolve in the near future.
DUVEILLER BOGDAN Grégory Henry E;
CEGLAR Andrej;
CHUKALIEV Ordan;
NIEMEYER Stefan;
2013-06-04
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
JRC82116
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