Title: Resilience of Natural Gas Networks during Conflicts, Crises and Disruptions
Authors: CARVALHO RuiBUZNA LubosBONO FlavioMASERA MarceloARROWSMITH DavidHELBING Dirk
Citation: PLOS ONE vol. 9 no. 3 p. e90265
Publisher: PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE
Publication Year: 2014
JRC N°: JRC83572
ISSN: 1932-6203
URI: http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0090265
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC83572
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0090265
Type: Articles in periodicals and books
Abstract: Human conflict, geopolitical crises, terrorist attacks, and natural disasters can turn large parts of energy distribution networks offline. Europe’s current gas supply network is largely dependent on deliveries from Russia and North Africa, creating vulnerabilities to social and political instabilities. During crises, less delivery may mean greater congestion, as the pipeline network is used in ways it has not been designed for. Given the importance of the security of natural gas supply, we develop a model to handle network congestion on various geographical scales. We offer a resilient response strategy to energy shortages and quantify its effectiveness for a variety of relevant scenarios. In essence, Europe’s gas supply can bemade robust even to major supply disruptions, if a fair distribution strategy is applied.
JRC Directorate:Space, Security and Migration

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