Title: CAPRI long-term climate change scenario analysis: The AgMIP approach
Authors: WITZKE Heinz PeterCIAIAN PAVELDELINCE Jacques
Publisher: Publications Office of the European Union
Publication Year: 2014
JRC N°: JRC85872
ISBN: 978-92-79-35040-5
ISSN: 1831-9424
Other Identifiers: EUR 26416
OPOCE LF-NA-26416-EN-N
URI: http://ftp.jrc.es/EURdoc/JRC85872.pdf
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC85872
DOI: 10.2791/60495
Type: EUR - Scientific and Technical Research Reports
Abstract: The current paper investigates the long-term global effects of crops productivity changes under different climate scenarios and the impact of biofuels expansion using the Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact (CAPRI) model. These analyses are conducted in the framework of the AgMIP project (Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project). The results indicate that globally there will be both winners and losers, with some regions benefitting from agricultural production adjustment as a result of climate change whilst most regions suffering losses in production and consumption. Biofuel expansion leads to land relocation away from crop agricultural commodity production to new energy crops which is reflected in lower production levels of agricultural commodities and higher agricultural prices.
JRC Directorate:Growth and Innovation

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