Climate Impacts in Europe. The JRC PESETA II Project
The objective of the JRC PESETA II project is to gain insights into the sectoral and regional patterns of climate change impacts in
Europe by the end of this century. The study uses a large set of climate model runs and impact categories (ten categories:
agriculture, energy, river floods, droughts, forest fires, transport infrastructure, coasts, tourism, habitat suitability of forest tree
species and human health). The project integrates biophysical direct climate impacts (from eight of the impact categories) into a
macroeconomic economic model, which enables the comparison of the different impacts based on common metrics (household
welfare and economic activity).
If the 2080s climate would happen today and without public adaptation, the EU household welfare losses would amount to
around €190 billion, almost 2% of EU GDP. The geographical distribution of the climate damages is very asymmetric with a
clear bias towards the southern European regions. More than half of the overall EU damages are estimated to be due to
additional premature mortality (€120 billion). Moving to a 2°C world would reduce climate damages by €60 billion, to €120
billion (1.2% of GDP).
CISCAR MARTINEZ Juan Carlos;
FEYEN Luc;
SORIA RAMIREZ Antonio;
LAVALLE Carlo;
RAES Frank;
PERRY Miles;
NEMRY Francoise;
DEMIREL Hande;
RÓZSAI Máté;
DOSIO Alessandro;
DONATELLI Marcello;
SRIVASTAVA Amit Kumar;
FUMAGALLI Davide;
NIEMEYER Stefan;
SHRESTHA Shailesh;
CIAIAN Pavel;
HIMICS Mihaly;
VAN DOORSLAER Benjamin;
BARRIOS Salvador;
IBANEZ RIVAS Juan;
FORZIERI Giovanni;
ROJAS MUJICA Rodrigo Felipe;
BIANCHI Alessandra;
DOWLING Paul;
CAMIA Andrea;
LIBERTA' Giorgio;
SAN-MIGUEL-AYANZ Jesus;
DE RIGO Daniele;
CAUDULLO Giovanni;
BARREDO CANO Jose Ignacio;
PACI Daniele;
PYCROFT Jonathan;
SAVEYN Bert;
VAN REGEMORTER Denise;
REVESZ Tamas;
VANDYCK Toon;
VRONTISI Zoi;
BARANZELLI Claudia;
VANDECASTEELE Ine;
BATISTA E SILVA Filipe;
IBARRETA RUIZ Dolores;
CISCAR MARTINEZ Juan Carlos;
2014-06-03
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC87011
978-92-79-36833-2,
1831-9424 (online),
EUR 26586,
OP LF-NA-26-586-EN-N (online),
http://ipts.jrc.ec.europa.eu/publications/pub.cfm?id=7181,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC87011,
10.2791/7409 (online),
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