Evaluation of the status of natural resources in the updated Reference Configuration 2014 of the LUISA modelling platform
Methodological framework and preliminary considerations
The impacts of current and planned policy initiatives can be simulated by using modelling tools and indicators, which help determine the effectiveness of policies in attaining targets. The Land Use-based Integrated Sustainability Assessment (LUISA) modelling platform was configured to assess the spatial impact of the “EU Energy Reference scenario 2013” on the efficient use of natural resources in the EU-28 in a short time period (2010-2020) and in a long term vision (2010-2050). A set of Resource Efficiency (RE) indicators were computed to measure [1] the progress towards the efficient use of land and water as a resource and [2] the performance on the actions and milestones on natural capital and ecosystems proposed in the RE roadmap, in particular biodiversity, safeguarding clean air, and land and soils. The modelling results show that by 2050: [1] the share of built-up area in the EU-28 will increase by 1%; [2] the EU-28 will use the land less efficiently; [3] the water productivity is expected to increase on average 8%; [4] the landscape fragmentation in the EU-28 will show no significant changes [5] and the PM10 concentrations in urban air and population exposed will remain constant.
LOPES BARBOSA Ana Luisa;
LAVALLE Carlo;
VANDECASTEELE Ine;
VIZCAINO MARTINEZ Maria;
VALLECILLO RODRIGUEZ Sara;
PERPIÑA CASTILLO Carolina;
MARI RIVERO Ines;
BARANZELLI Claudia;
JACOBS Christiaan;
BATISTA E SILVA Filipe;
ZULIAN Grazia;
MAES Joachim;
GUERRA Carlos;
2015-04-15
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC92984
978-92-79-44338-1,
1831-9424,
EUR 26938,
OP LB-NA-26938-EN-N,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC92984,
10.2788/527155,
Additional supporting files
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