Storm surges are an important coastal hazard component and it is unknown how they will evolve along Europe's coastline in view of climate change. In the present contribution, the hydrodynamic model Delft3D-Flow was forced by wind velocity and atmospheric pressure fields from a 6-member climate model ensemble in order to evaluate dynamics in storm surge levels (SSL) along the European coastline (i) for the baseline period 1970-2000; and (ii) during this century under the Representative Concentration Pathways RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Validation simulations, spanning from 2008 to 2014 and driven by ERA-Interim atmospheric forcing, indicated good predictive skill (0.06 m
VOUSDOUKAS Michail;
VOUKOUVALAS Evangelos;
ANNUNZIATO Alessandro;
GIARDINO Alessio;
FEYEN Luc;
2017-02-10
SPRINGER
JRC96886
0930-7575,
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-016-3019-5,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC96886,
10.1007/s00382-016-3019-5,