Probabilistic gas transmission network simulator and application to the EU gas transmission system

The paper describes the methodology approach and the results obtained by the probabilistic gas network simulator ProGasNet software tool. The ProGasNet has been applied to a number of test cases, all based on real gas transmission networks of the EU countries. Various types of analysis have been performed: reliability, vulnerability, security of supply and various types of results have been reported: supply reliability estimates, time-dependent storage discharge effect, quantitative effects of new infrastructure, security of supply under different disruption scenarios. The ProGasNet model provides an indication of the worst networks nodes in terms of security of supply and provides their numerical ranking. The model is very powerful to compare and evaluate different supply options, new network development plans and analyse potential crisis situations.

KOPUSTINSKAS Vytis;  PRAKS Pavel; 

2016-01-08

IWA Drukarnia

JRC99648

2084-5316,   

http://jpsra.am.gdynia.pl,    https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC99648,