Fair yield outlook, but reduced production areas
Winter cereals’ yield forecasts are below the historical trend but still around the 5-year average, albeit well below last year’s record level. An increase in area under rapeseed led to significantly increased production of this crop.
Russia’s war against Ukraine has seen a decrease in the area under grain maize and sunflowers. Consequently, our production forecasts for both crops is below the 5-year average, despite fair yield outlooks.
Fair yield outlooks, combined with stable planting area for soybean leads to near average production.
Based on our regional forecasts, we estimate that 22% of soft wheat production, 20% of the barley, 13% of the rapeseed, 4% of the grain maize, 10% of the sunflowers, and 7% of the soybean production at country level is in areas currently subject to hostilities due to Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine, which is likely to reduce harvestable crops and thus final production figures.
BEN AOUN Wassim;
CLAVERIE Martin;
LEMOINE Guido;
RONCHETTI Giulia;
SEDANO SANTAMARIA Fernando;
CERRANI Iacopo;
NISINI SCACCHIAFICHI Luigi;
PANARELLO Lorenzo;
BEN AOUN Wassim;
VAN DEN BERG Maurits;
BELWARD Alan;
Ben Aoun, W., Claverie, M., Lemoine, G., Ronchetti, G., Sedano Santamaria, F., Cerrani, I., Nisini Scacchiafichi, L. and Panarello, L., JRC MARS Bulletin - Global outlook - Crop monitoring European neighbourhood - Ukraine - September 2022, Ben Aoun, W., Van Den Berg, M. and Belward, A. editor(s), Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2022, doi:10.2760/945262, JRC127974.
2022-09-12
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC127974
2600-2817 (online),
OP KJ-BQ-22-010-EN-N (online),
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC127974,
10.2760/945262 (online),
