Summary Report of the 1st Workshop on the use of Ensemble Prediction System in Flood Forecasting (Ispra, 21-22 November 2005)
The first workshop on the use of EPS in flood forecasting was organised by the Joint Research Centre together with researchers from King's College in London (UK) and the Lancaster University (UK). The workshop was organized to address two main concerns of EFAS regarding flood forecasting based on EPS:
1. How to extract meaningful information from the meteorological EPS for medium-range flood forecasting?
2. How to communicate the uncertainty in flood forecasting to end-users? The specific objectives of the workshop were to explore together with flood forecasting experts from the Member States:
3. The usefulness of EPS information implemented in EFAS for operational flood forecasting and decision making, and the perception of uncertainty in flood forecasting. The workshop's concept was to have a small group of flood forecasters from different river basins working through a number of case-studies, each one representing a potential flood situation as forecasted by EFAS. On the first day, the participants worked in groups on each case-study. The second day was targeted mostly to plenary discussions on the use of EPS in flood forecasting.
THIELEN DEL POZO Jutta;
DOMINGUES RAMOS Maria Helena;
BARTHOLMES Jens;
DE ROO Arie;
PAPPENBERGER Florian;
CLOKE Hannah;
DEMERRITT David;
2006-02-01
JRC32117
EUR 22118 EN,
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